Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 5.861128 6.691381 7.608949 8.700179 9.965110 11.388229 13.114830
2025-03-16 4.616046 5.656995 6.899663 8.499432 10.514335 12.980941 16.249217
2025-03-23 4.088757 5.281654 6.790202 8.852323 11.620048 15.237573 20.374957
2025-03-30 3.630927 4.892174 6.562846 8.960654 12.351216 17.029894 24.071788
2025-04-06 3.230866 4.510666 6.273784 8.911784 12.813186 18.456289 27.393433
2025-04-13 2.896801 4.172056 5.990532 8.813355 13.158324 19.714155 30.586517
2025-04-20 2.719003 4.032476 5.967497 9.078283 14.053304 21.871800 35.432332
2025-04-27 2.549523 3.883385 5.907800 9.268699 14.837256 23.926414 40.367023
2025-05-04 2.435924 3.805694 5.944438 9.606387 15.884282 26.514897 46.549607
2025-05-11 2.216705 3.538285 5.652014 9.367514 15.926032 27.389009 49.775341
2025-05-18 2.046589 3.334306 5.441809 9.241130 16.139472 28.572547 53.712447
2025-05-25 1.902120 3.159627 5.263149 9.147775 16.394232 29.846848 57.980106
2025-06-01 1.761212 2.981335 5.066306 9.008674 16.561113 30.998031 62.218708
2025-06-08 1.624207 2.798410 4.845416 8.802981 16.577575 31.857818 65.977029
2025-06-15 1.585801 2.786564 4.927129 9.170052 17.744738 35.135968 75.410713
2025-06-22 1.514386 2.708437 4.880145 9.282688 18.411234 37.463565 83.083378
2025-06-29 1.427796 2.595019 4.757216 9.231896 18.732082 39.092685 89.384799
2025-07-06 1.342476 2.477241 4.616006 9.129592 18.930332 40.473492 95.298947
2025-07-13 1.308181 2.454481 4.656500 9.404961 19.975865 43.875723 106.764834
2025-07-20 1.267185 2.415220 4.660631 9.602901 20.869699 47.039190 118.151589
2025-07-27 1.244413 2.410233 4.732869 9.953967 22.151827 51.287298 133.160408
2025-08-03 1.163751 2.282067 4.541985 9.705625 22.001201 52.017588 138.614146
2025-08-10 1.100276 2.184838 4.408448 9.574241 22.116675 53.428217 146.242840